Hardman's Thoughts

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Australian Open Quarter Final Predictions – Men

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Of the top 8 seeds, 6 have made it through to the quarter finals. The two that are missing are Del Potro and Tipsarevic, Janko pulled out of his fourth round match whereas Del Potro was surprisingly dumped out in the third round. The top 3 will be expected to qualify from the quarters easily but will that actually happen? Let’s have a look at the draws.

N.Djokovic(1) – T.Berdych(5)

This is the quarter final I am most excited about. Two power hitters with good serves going toe to toe with each other for a place in the semi finals of a slam. It should be brilliant to watch! Berdych isn’t the favourite but how will Djokovic respond after his gruelling 4th round match? He’s responded well in the past and I see no reason for that to be different here.  But then Berdych is a fine player, one who is improving all the time. He’s beaten all the top 3 players in slams before and will not be underestimated by any of them. The dark horse of the tournament, and he will feel he has a chance after the epic Novak just had. However, if Novak recovers as well as he can do then I believe he will win. Djokovic in 5.

Route to Quarters:

Djokovic(1):

1st Round:    Mathieu: 6-2, 6-4, 7-5

2nd Round:  Harrison: 6-1, 6-2, 6-3

3rd Round:   Stepanek(31): 6-4, 6-3, 7-5

4th Round:   Wawrinka(15): 1-6, 7-5, 6-4, 6(5)-7, 12-10

Berdych(5):

1st Round:    Russell: 6-3, 7-5, 6-3

2nd Round: Rufin: 6-2, 6-2, 6-4

3rd Round:   Melzer(26): 6-3, 6-2, 6-2

4th Round:   Anderson: 6-3, 6-2, 7-6(13)

D.Ferrer(4) – N.Almagro(10)

David Ferrer has made it to yet another Grand Slam quarter final, his 5th in a row and 9th overall. Almagro, on the other hand, is at his first one not on clay. Using those stats you would make Ferrer the favourite and I’ve been trying to make a case for Almagro all day. The only possible line I’ve come up with is that he knows Ferrer very well, being a fellow Spainard but simply put, Ferrer is the better player. Having said that, tennis is a funny sport and if Almagro plays to his best and Ferrer is off colour then maybe Almagro has a chance. However, I fully expected Ferrer to literally run his way into a semi final. Ferrer in 3.

Route to Quarters:

Ferrer(4):

1st Round:  Rochus: 6-3, 6-4, 6-2

2nd Round: Smyczek: 6-0, 7-5, 4-6, 6-3

3rd Round:   Baghdatis(28): 6-4, 6-2, 6-3

4th Round:   Nishikori(16): 6-2, 6-1, 6-4

Almagro(10):

1st Round:    Johnson: 7-5, 6(4)-7, 6-2, 6(6)-7, 6-2

2nd Round: Gimeno-Traver: 6-4, 6-1, 6-2

3rd Round:   Janowicz(24): 7-6(3), 7-6(4), 6-1

4th Round:   Tipsarevic(8): 6-2, 5-1(r)

J.Chardy – A.Murray(3)

The surprise package plays the last Grand Slam winner, and you would back Andy to come out on top any day. It may not be as simple as that. Murray himself has admitted that he hasn’t reached his top form yet and Chardy has knocked out 3 seeds in a row. Throw in the fact that the last time these two met, Chardy came out on top and we may have an intriguing match on our hands. But this is a Grand Slam quarter final. It’s Chardy’s 1st and Murray’s 15th, that experience is more than likely going to show here. If Murray finds his best form than this will be a canter, if not than us British fans may be having another one of our tense viewings. My prediction is that it is going to be somewhere in between those scenarios. Murray in 4.

Route to Quarters:

Chardy:

1st Round:   Menendez: 7-6(5), 6(3)-7, 6-2, 6-1

2nd Round:  Granollers(30): 6-3, 3-6, 6-1, 6-2

3rd Round:  Del Potro(6): 6-3, 6-3, 6(3)-7, 3-6, 6-3

4th Round:  Seppi(21): 5-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2

Murray(3):

1st Round:    Haase: 6-3, 6-1, 6-3

2nd Round:  Sousa: 6-2, 6-2, 6-4

3rd Round:   Berankis: 6-3, 6-4, 7-5

4th Round:   Simon(14): 6-3, 6-1, 6-3

J-W.Tsonga(7) – R.Federer(2)

These two have history in quarter finals at Grand Slams. Tsonga was the first person to beat Federer from two sets down in a Grand Slam at Wimbledon 2011 but Roger got his revenge at the very next slam, winning in 3. Tsonga has made the final in Australia before (2008 l. to Djokovic) and on his day is one of the most entertaining players on the tour. He’s been playing well so far but comes up against Federer who appears to be in some of his best form in years. If Federer carries that on then he will win this but if he drops a little then Tsonga is the perfect player to capitalise on this. I can see Tsonga winning a set here. Federer in 4.

Route to Quarters:

Tsonga(7):

1st Round:  Llodra: 6-4, 7-5, 6-2

2nd Round: Soeda: 6-3, 7-6(1), 6-3

3rd Round:   Kavcic: 6-2, 6-1, 6-4

4th Round:   Gasquet(9): 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2

Federer(2):

1st Round:    Paire: 6-2, 6-4, 6-1

2nd Round:  Davydenko: 6-3, 6-4, 6-4

3rd Round:   Tomic: 6-4, 7-6(5), 6-1

4th Round:   Raonic(13): 6-4, 7-6(4), 6-2

Yet again, I have predicted the top four getting to the semi finals but given how the draw has worked out, this is hardly a surprise this time. Watch out for Tsonga and especially Berdych though, they have the quality to cause an upset. My predictions usually go horribly wrong so it’ll probably be a final between Almagro and Chardy!

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Author: GHardman42

Mancunian. Main passions are Sport and Mus(e)ic. Huge Everton, AM, Lancashire, JB and England fan! I play tennis like Dolgopolov (except nowhere near as good). Josh has said "You just don't know what will come next"

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